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Europa League Predictions and Best Bets - Thursday 22 October 2026

Europa League Value Hunting

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xGenius
Oct 22, 2026
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Tonight’s focus takes us to the Vitality Stadium, where Bournemouth host AC Milan with two wins from two in the Europa League. We are also in Graz, where Sturm and Marseille are both still looking for a first Europa League win, and in Celje, where the hosts have yet to score in the competition ahead of a visit from Salzburg.

Results

One from two on Wednesday, with Olympic El Qanah taking a 3-3 draw from Al Ahly in Cairo. Bayern led Arsenal 2-1 through a Harry Kane penalty just after the hour, but Declan Rice levelled eight minutes from time and it finished 2-2 in Munich.

• Bayern Munich v Arsenal: Bayern to win at 2.07 (+7.04%) lost

• Al Ahly v Olympic El Qanah: Olympic El Qanah +1.75 Asian Handicap at 1.825 (+12.6%) won

Our last thirteen previews have returned 14 winners from 30 positions, with three more returning the stake and 13 losing. That comes to a profit of 0.44% of bank from 11.25% staked.

Bournemouth v AC Milan (8pm UK)

Bournemouth have won both of their Europa League games so far, scoring five and conceding just one, and they have done their best work late, with two of those five goals arriving after the 75th minute. Milan won 4-0 on their travels and lost 2-0 in their other game, so neither of their matches has seen both sides score. Full-time xG comes in at 1.74 for Bournemouth against 1.225 for Milan, a combined total of around 2.97, and Milan’s expected output leans towards the second half, 0.808 after the break against 0.428 before it.

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