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Fiorentina vs Atalanta Best +EV Bets and Trading Plan - Thursday 29 October 2026

Value Betting in Serie A

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xGenius
Oct 29, 2026
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Tonight’s focus takes us to Florence, where Fiorentina are still waiting for their first home league win of the season. Atalanta arrive having lost all three of their away games. Earlier in the evening, Frosinone host Lecce on the back of a 4-4 draw at Atalanta on Sunday.

Results

One winner and one stake returned on Wednesday, with Bologna beating Milan 4-2 at San Siro and Samuel Mbangula scoring three of the four. Parma and Udinese drew 0-0 at the Tardini, where Adrián Bernabé had a 69th-minute penalty saved, so the level handicap handed the stake back.

• AC Milan v Bologna: Bologna +1.75 Asian Handicap at 1.30 (+5.9%) won

• Parma v Udinese: Parma 0.00 Asian Handicap at 1.975 (+3.6%) returned the stake

Our last twenty previews have returned 24 winners from 49 positions, with four more returning the stake and 21 losing. A return of +3.44% on the amount staked.

Fiorentina v Atalanta (7:45pm UK)

Fiorentina have won one of their eight league games and sit 19th, with nine scored and 19 conceded. At the Franchi it has been one draw and three defeats, with just three goals. Last time out they led until the 90th minute and still lost 2-1. Atalanta have won three of their five in Bergamo, but they have lost all three away games, scoring three and conceding seven. The market makes Fiorentina 2.29 favourites, with the draw at 3.60 and Atalanta at 3.00. Full-time xG comes in at 1.92 for Fiorentina against 1.27 for Atalanta, a combined total of around 3.19.

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