Premier League: +EV Betting and Trading Plan - Bournemouth vs Manchester United
xG analysis and value trading plan for Friday night at the Vitality
Friday night football at the Vitality. Bournemouth host Manchester United in what has become one of the more interesting pricing anomalies for the weekend.
Both sides arrive in reasonable shape. Bournemouth have taken 2W-2D from their last four, conceding just 1.13 xG per game across the last ten. United are steadier than their league position suggests: 2W-2D-1L in the last five, averaging 1.61 xG for and 1.24 against.
Manchester United are listed as favourites at 2.12. Our model suggest that this could be more closely fought and there is a structural tilt towards low scoring game.
The full pre-match breakdown, in-play trigger plan, and EV betting opportunities are below.
