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Serie A and La Liga Preview - Monday 7 September 2026

Best +EV Bets and Trading Plans: Cagliari v Lecce; Udinese v Lazio; Elche v Real Sociedad

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xGenius
Sep 07, 2026
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Monday gives us two games in Serie A and two in La Liga, and we are covering three of them. Cagliari have Lecce in the early kick-off, Udinese host Lazio at the Dacia Arena, and Elche close the evening against Real Sociedad.

Elche are a slight underdog in their own stadium at 2.97, with Real Sociedad in at 2.36, and they arrive having conceded 0.66 goals’ worth of chances a game across the recent sample. That is the meanest defensive number on today’s card by some distance.

Four positions today, two on the Sardinian game and one on each of the others.

Sunday Results

One from three on Sunday. Chelsea led at the Emirates inside two minutes through Morgan Rogers, which fired the first-goal trade on the handicap, but Kai Havertz levelled on 25 and Martin Ødegaard won it five minutes after the restart. Those two first-half goals landed the FH Over 1.5 at 2.52. The pre-match Chelsea +0.75 at 2.00 was beaten by the single goal, which costs half the stake. Juventus and Milan finished 1-1 with both goals arriving after the hour and Federico Gatti heading in two minutes into stoppage time, so the FT Over 2.5 at 2.17 went down.

Cagliari v Lecce (5:30pm UK)

Cagliari are 2.00 at home, with the draw at 3.07 and Lecce out at 4.20. Full-time xG comes in at 1.44 for Cagliari against 1.27 for Lecce, a 2.71 combined total. Across the last ten Cagliari have won two and drawn one, creating 1.33 goals’ worth of chances a game while conceding 1.27, against Lecce winning three and drawing one on 1.28 created and 1.56 conceded. The distance the market has put between a 2.00 home side and a 4.20 away side is not in those numbers.

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