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Thursday Best +EV Bets Preview - 10 September 2026

Value Betting and Trading Plan for the Champions League and Portugal

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xGenius
Sep 10, 2026
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Two value positions identified for Thursday. Slavia Praha host Lens at eight, one of six Champions League games on the night, and Estrela Amadora take on Sporting Braga a quarter of an hour later.

Lens arrive with an away expected-goals figure of 0.706, the lowest of any side across Thursday’s Champions League fixtures.

Wednesday Results

One from five on Wednesday, and Telstar were the one. A single Ørjasæter goal on 65 minutes settled it at De Grolsch Veste, and the goal-and-a-quarter start covered that defeat in full. Benfica had been three up at Moreirense with eighteen minutes left when Aursnes made it four and took the Under 3.5 with it, Norwich led Birmingham 2-0 inside forty minutes, St Johnstone and Celtic went in level at McDiarmid Park before Baur settled it after the hour, and Barcelona were two up on Feyenoord by the 22nd minute.

SK Slavia Praha v Lens (8pm UK)

Slavia are 2.55 at the Fortuna Arena, with the draw at 3.50 and Lens at 2.65. Full-time xG comes in at 1.985 for Slavia against 0.706 for Lens, a 2.691 combined total, and the first-half split runs 1.011 to 0.334 in the home side’s favour. Lens open their league phase under Dino Toppmöller on the back of a defeat at Lorient, with Yacine Titraoui out and Matthieu Udol a doubt after a dead leg.

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