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Villarreal v Napoli Preview - Tuesday 13 October 2026

Champions League Value Hunting

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xGenius
Oct 13, 2026
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Tonight’s focus takes us to the Estadio de la Cerámica, where Villarreal host Napoli in the Champions League. From there we go to Turf Moor, where Burnley are still looking for their first home league win of the season against a Charlton side six points better off.

Villarreal v Napoli (8pm UK)

The market makes Villarreal 2.10 favourites at home, with the draw at 3.58 and Napoli out at 2.73, so there is not a great deal between the two sides in the pricing. Full-time xG comes in at 1.89 for Villarreal against 1.35 for Napoli, a 3.24 combined total, and the hosts’ 1.89 is the highest figure of the four sides we are covering tonight. For a game priced this evenly, that is a healthy amount of expected goals, with Villarreal at home doing most of the work.

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