It’s the first week of February, which means it’s time to do what we always do — open the books and show you exactly how xGenius Edge performed.
No cherry-picking. No selective memory. Just the full picture.
January 2026 was a good month. A very good month, actually. +13.99 units of profit at 26.4% ROI, making it our third-best month since the service launched just over a year ago.
Let’s break down what happened, what worked, and what it means going forward.
January By The Numbers
Across the month, we issued 65 selections. Of those, 53 settled with a result (the remainder were void, scratched, or the trigger wasn’t met for in-play entries).
Wins: 33
Losses: 20
Win rate: 62.3%
Profit: +13.99 units
ROI: 26.4%
For context, our long-term ROI sits at 9.75%. January nearly tripled that. Some months you run hot. But the reason January worked wasn’t luck — it was execution, particularly on the in-play side.
Where We Found Value in January
Top Leagues
Not all leagues are created equal. January’s profit came from some familiar faces and a few surprises:
Spain +4.80 units
Saudi Arabia +3.72 units
England +2.57 units
Belgium +2.00 units
Germany +1.48 units
La Liga and Segunda provided consistent opportunities — Spain remains one of our strongest markets across the full dataset (+12.19 units all-time). The Saudi Pro League was a pleasant surprise; strong underlying xG data and softer markets created genuine edges.
Top Individual Winners
A few highlights from the month:
Harrogate vs Tranmere (Late Goals @ 1.20): +4.00 units — an in-play entry that capitalised on the late-game patterns both teams had shown all season
Malaga vs Burgos (Over 2.5 @ 4.50): +3.50 units — a Segunda fixture where the combined xG profiles made this price far too long, then combined with goal-timing data to maximise our returns
Club Brugge vs Louviere (Over 3.5 @ 3.00): +2.00 units — Belgian action with two attacking sides
Espanyol vs Girona (Back 1+ @ 2.50): +1.50 units — backing home goals in a fixture where the market underestimated the hosts
The Late Goals market, in particular, continues to be our highest-conviction in-play setup. Across all time, it’s returned +31.15 units at a 67.4% win rate. When the timing data aligns, it’s one of the most reliable edges we’ve found.
The Full Picture: 7 Months of xGenius Edge
January doesn’t exist in isolation. Here’s where we stand after seven months of tracked results:
+59.56 units
ROI 9.75%
Win Rate 54.8%
Total Selections 500+
Profitable Months 5 of 7 (70%)
Seventy percent of months in profit. Nearly 60 units up. And the in-play trading contributing over 71 units of that total.
We’re not claiming to have cracked some secret code. Markets are efficient; finding edges is hard. But the combination of xG-based modelling, timing analysis, and selective in-play entries has created a repeatable process that tilts the odds in our favour over time.
What xGenius Edge Actually Delivers
Every morning, you receive an email with:
2 pre-match selections — fully reasoned with model probabilities, market odds, expected value calculations, and recommended stakes
2 in-play trading setups — specific triggers, entry conditions, and the statistical basis for each trade
No vague tips. No “I fancy this one.” Every selection comes with the data behind it, so you understand exactly why we’re taking the position and can make your own informed decision.
The service is designed for people who want to bet smarter, not just bet more. Quality over quantity. Process over hunches.
Join xGenius Edge (+ Bonus for First 10)
If you’ve been reading these updates and thinking about joining, here’s an extra incentive:
The first 10 people who sign up for xGenius Edge will also receive one month’s free access to our Premium Substack — which includes full match analyses, value reports, and in-depth trading breakdowns.
Pricing:
Monthly: £24.99
Annual: £197 (saves £100+)
And if you move fast, you’ll get a free month of Premium Substack thrown in as well.
Looking Ahead
February’s already underway. The fixtures keep coming. The models keep running. And every morning, you’ll have actionable analysis waiting in your inbox.
We don’t promise you’ll win every bet — nobody can. But we do promise transparency, rigorous methodology, and a genuine effort to find edges where they exist.
The results speak for themselves. The decision is yours.
Get started with xGenius Edge →
All results tracked since January 2025. Full historical data available upon request. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.